Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Lombardi wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lombardi 46.1% vs Bonino 47.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lombardi 65.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 54.1%
Neutral zone
Lombardi 54.4%
Result
Matthew Lombardi favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Lombardi
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lombardi
Bonino
Last 6: Lombardi 2-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Lombardi
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lombardi
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lombardi
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lombardi
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (203)
48.4% (246)
-1.6%
Power Play
33.3% (27)
37.5% (32)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
41.2% (17)
-24.5%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Lombardi is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Lombardi shoots left. Bonino is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Lombardi
Bonino
Home
44.0% (109)
53.3% (122)
Away
44.9% (127)
42.2% (173)
By Period
Lombardi
Bonino
P1
47.0%
48.4%
P2
42.2%
44.3%
P3
43.5%
47.2%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lombardi
46.0%▲
43.0%
44.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |