Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Chaput wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 52.2% vs Bonino 48.1% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chaput 83.2%
Defensive zone
Chaput 65.1%
Neutral zone
Chaput 76.0%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Chaput
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Chaput
Bonino
Last 8: Chaput 6-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Chaput
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
3
0
Chaput
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
0
Chaput
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (374)
48.7% (917)
+4.0%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
53.2% (94)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
42.1% (202)
-8.8%
On power play, Chaput has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Chaput is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (261).
Chaput shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (781).
Home / Away
Chaput
Bonino
Home
58.4% (178)
51.0% (629)
Away
47.8% (207)
44.7% (584)
By Period
Chaput
Bonino
P1
52.3%
49.0%
P2
49.6%
45.4%
P3
56.9%
50.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
52.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |