Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grabovski 48.1% vs Bonino 50.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grabovski 61.3%
Defensive zone
Grabovski 59.1%
Neutral zone
Grabovski 61.4%
Result
Mikhail Grabovski favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Grabovski
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Grabovski
Bonino
Last 5: Grabovski 1-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
1
0
Grabovski
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
4
Grabovski
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grabovski
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (427)
50.2% (691)
-1.3%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
61.5% (78)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
45.6% (149)
-45.6%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +45.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Grabovski is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Grabovski shoots left. Bonino is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Grabovski
Bonino
Home
49.4% (241)
52.7% (467)
Away
45.9% (222)
48.1% (451)
By Period
Grabovski
Bonino
P1
46.0%
48.9%
P2
49.4%
50.2%
P3
46.6%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
41.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |