Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bonino wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 52.3% vs Sundqvist 46.0% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 60.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 82.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 82.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Bonino
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Bonino
Sundqvist
Last 8: Bonino 5-3 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
2
Bonino
Sundqvist
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
0
Bonino
Sundqvist
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (717)
44.0% (209)
+8.0%
Power Play
62.7% (67)
83.3% (6)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (144)
36.4% (22)
+14.3%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Bonino is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Bonino shoots left. Sundqvist is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Bonino
Sundqvist
Home
54.8% (429)
41.2% (114)
Away
50.7% (499)
47.2% (123)
By Period
Bonino
Sundqvist
P1
53.5%
42.9%
P2
49.5%
51.5%
P3
54.8%
36.4%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 10:58 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 07:48 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |