Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.1% vs Berglund 50.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 66.2%
Defensive zone
Berglund 59.9%
Neutral zone
Berglund 68.6%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Bonino
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bonino
Berglund
Last 7: Bonino 5-2 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
1
Bonino
Berglund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
1
Bonino
Berglund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Berglund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (917)
50.5% (982)
-1.8%
Power Play
53.2% (94)
55.7% (79)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (202)
40.7% (108)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (781).
Bonino shoots left. Berglund is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Bonino
Berglund
Home
51.0% (629)
50.7% (548)
Away
44.7% (584)
49.3% (621)
By Period
Bonino
Berglund
P1
49.0%
49.6%
P2
45.4%
50.5%
P3
50.2%
49.6%
OT
23.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 12:02 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 02:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |