Scouting Report
Patrik Elias holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bonino wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 44.2% vs Elias 44.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 51.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 50.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Bonino
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Bonino
Elias
Last 8: Bonino 2-6 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
3
Bonino
Elias
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
1
Bonino
Elias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
1
2
Bonino
Elias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (423)
44.7% (954)
-1.4%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
46.9% (196)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
36.1% (180)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Elias has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Bonino is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Bonino shoots left. Elias is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Home / Away
Bonino
Elias
Home
44.1% (222)
46.0% (692)
Away
41.8% (232)
42.2% (677)
By Period
Bonino
Elias
P1
43.9%
40.7%
P2
43.4%
46.8%
P3
41.6%
44.0%
OT
0.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
44.8%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.0%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 05:07 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |