Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 88.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 71.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 77.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Bonino
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Bonino
Gaustad
Last 10: Bonino 5-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
0
Bonino
Gaustad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
9
Bonino
Gaustad
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Bonino
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
58.2% (4,334)
-7.6%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
65.4% (188)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
54.8% (1,290)
-10.2%
On power play, Gaustad has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Bonino
Gaustad
Home
51.2% (5,507)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Bonino
Gaustad
P1
50.6%
58.2%
P2
48.5%
56.4%
P3
51.1%
58.3%
OT
45.7%
66.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |