Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Bonino wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 47.6% vs Gaustad 57.9% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 92.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 73.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 83.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Bonino
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Bonino
Gaustad
Last 10: Bonino 1-9 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
0
Bonino
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
6
Bonino
Gaustad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Bonino
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (246)
59.8% (353)
-11.4%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
66.7% (15)
-29.2%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (17)
58.0% (81)
-16.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Bonino is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Bonino shoots left. Gaustad is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Bonino
Gaustad
Home
53.3% (122)
62.1% (195)
Away
42.2% (173)
57.9% (254)
By Period
Bonino
Gaustad
P1
48.4%
59.4%
P2
44.3%
58.1%
P3
47.2%
61.3%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2013 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |