Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bonino wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 53.9% vs Holland 48.0% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holland 55.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 62.4%
Neutral zone
Holland 50.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Bonino
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Bonino
Holland
Last 6: Bonino 3-3 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Holland
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Holland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
0
1
Bonino
Holland
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (771)
49.0% (196)
+7.4%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
50.0% (4)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (169)
33.3% (27)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Bonino is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Bonino shoots left. Holland is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Bonino
Holland
Home
56.5% (531)
52.1% (94)
Away
51.7% (439)
43.6% (133)
By Period
Bonino
Holland
P1
56.7%
47.6%
P2
48.1%
48.6%
P3
58.0%
45.1%
Final 5 min
59.2%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 16:24 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |