Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Donato 44.9% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 73.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 78.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Bonino
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Bonino
Donato
Last 6: Bonino 3-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
2
Bonino
Donato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
0
Bonino
Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Bonino
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
44.2% (1,179)
+6.4%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
46.3% (246)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
36.4% (11)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Bonino
Donato
Home
51.2% (5,507)
47.2% (743)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Bonino
Donato
P1
50.6%
43.4%
P2
48.5%
45.1%
P3
51.1%
44.4%
OT
45.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |