Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 33 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Kesler 55.9% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 47-44 in 91 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 60.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 60.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 63.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Bonino
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
47
(91 meetings)
44
47
Bonino
Kesler
Last 10: Bonino 6-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
11
22
Bonino
Kesler
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
24
14
Bonino
Kesler
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
9
11
Bonino
Kesler
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.8%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
60.7% (1,437)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
50.5% (1,908)
-5.9%
On power play, Kesler has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Bonino shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Bonino
Kesler
Home
51.2% (5,507)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Bonino
Kesler
P1
50.6%
56.5%
P2
48.5%
55.9%
P3
51.1%
56.1%
OT
45.7%
46.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:59 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 12, 2018 | OT | 01:10 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |