Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 53.9% vs Kesler 52.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 50.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 59.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 52.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Bonino
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bonino
Kesler
Last 7: Bonino 5-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
2
Bonino
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (771)
55.2% (567)
+1.2%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
54.9% (51)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (169)
45.0% (131)
-1.2%
On power play, Bonino has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Bonino is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Bonino shoots left. Kesler is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Bonino
Kesler
Home
56.5% (531)
55.7% (388)
Away
51.7% (439)
50.8% (362)
By Period
Bonino
Kesler
P1
56.7%
56.3%
P2
48.1%
52.5%
P3
58.0%
52.6%
OT
52.6%
35.3%
Final 5 min
59.2%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |