Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bonino wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 52.3% vs Strome 47.7% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 82.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 50.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 64.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Bonino
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Bonino
Strome
Last 9: Bonino 3-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
5
Bonino
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
1
Bonino
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (717)
47.8% (813)
+4.2%
Power Play
62.7% (67)
56.4% (133)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (144)
32.7% (98)
+18.0%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Bonino is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Bonino shoots left. Strome is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Bonino
Strome
Home
54.8% (429)
47.5% (535)
Away
50.7% (499)
47.5% (509)
By Period
Bonino
Strome
P1
53.5%
46.4%
P2
49.5%
48.3%
P3
54.8%
47.9%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |