Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Bennett 47.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 65.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 77.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 58.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Bonino
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
15
(32 meetings)
17
15
Bonino
Bennett
Last 10: Bonino 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
8
Bonino
Bennett
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
2
Bonino
Bennett
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
10
5
Bonino
Bennett
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
46.8% (5,533)
+3.8%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
52.4% (523)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
41.7% (247)
+2.9%
On even strength, Bonino has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,107).
Home / Away
Bonino
Bennett
Home
51.2% (5,507)
48.1% (3,175)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
46.0% (3,128)
By Period
Bonino
Bennett
P1
50.6%
47.8%
P2
48.5%
46.3%
P3
51.1%
46.9%
OT
45.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Bennett
50.0%▲
43.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |