Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Bennett 47.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 65.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 76.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 57.1%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Bonino
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
15
(32 meetings)
17
15
Bonino
Bennett
Last 10: Bonino 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
8
Bonino
Bennett
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
2
Bonino
Bennett
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
10
5
Bonino
Bennett
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
46.8% (5,683)
+3.8%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
53.7% (555)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
41.8% (256)
+2.8%
On even strength, Bonino has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Bonino
Bennett
Home
51.2% (5,507)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Bonino
Bennett
P1
50.6%
48.0%
P2
48.5%
46.5%
P3
51.1%
46.9%
OT
45.7%
52.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |