Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Gagner 46.0% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 26-25 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 68.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 80.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 62.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Bonino
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
25
(51 meetings)
26
25
Bonino
Gagner
Last 10: Bonino 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
4
14
Bonino
Gagner
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
17
7
Bonino
Gagner
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
4
Bonino
Gagner
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
45.4% (4,699)
+5.2%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
51.5% (928)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
35.0% (226)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Bonino shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Bonino
Gagner
Home
51.2% (5,507)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Bonino
Gagner
P1
50.6%
44.6%
P2
48.5%
46.1%
P3
51.1%
47.3%
OT
45.7%
42.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 2 | 02:54 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2015 | OT | 00:47 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 5, 2015 | OT | 00:29 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |