Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 46.8%). Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 47.6% vs Gagner 47.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 80.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 73.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 54.6%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Bonino
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Bonino
Gagner
Last 10: Bonino 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
7
Bonino
Gagner
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
1
Bonino
Gagner
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Bonino
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (926)
45.6% (651)
+2.6%
Power Play
48.6% (109)
53.8% (119)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (210)
0.0% (1)
+43.3%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Bonino is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Bonino shoots left. Gagner is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Bonino
Gagner
Home
47.8% (653)
47.1% (367)
Away
47.0% (592)
46.5% (404)
By Period
Bonino
Gagner
P1
45.9%
49.6%
P2
47.0%
47.9%
P3
49.4%
43.4%
OT
50.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2015 | OT | 00:47 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 5, 2015 | OT | 00:29 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |