Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kalinin on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Kalinin 43.0% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Kalinin leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kalinin 50.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 58.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.6%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Bonino
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Bonino
Kalinin
Last 10: Bonino 5-5 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kalinin
3
5
Bonino
Kalinin
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Kalinin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Kalinin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
41.9% (453)
+8.7%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
33.3% (18)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
40.0% (25)
+4.6%
On power play, Bonino has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Kalinin is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Bonino
Kalinin
Home
51.2% (5,507)
42.8% (285)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
39.8% (211)
By Period
Bonino
Kalinin
P1
50.6%
43.8%
P2
48.5%
40.6%
P3
51.1%
40.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |