Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kalinin on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.4% vs Kalinin 43.6% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kalinin 63.6%
Defensive zone
Kalinin 61.3%
Neutral zone
Kalinin 65.0%
Result
Sergey Kalinin favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Bonino
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Bonino
Kalinin
Last 8: Bonino 3-5 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kalinin
1
5
Bonino
Kalinin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Kalinin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Kalinin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (691)
42.3% (298)
+7.9%
Power Play
61.5% (78)
29.4% (17)
+32.1%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (149)
42.9% (7)
+2.7%
On power play, Bonino has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Bonino is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Bonino shoots left. Kalinin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Bonino
Kalinin
Home
52.7% (467)
42.8% (173)
Away
48.1% (451)
40.3% (149)
By Period
Bonino
Kalinin
P1
48.9%
39.8%
P2
50.2%
44.1%
P3
51.7%
40.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.4%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |