Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.4% vs Oshie 51.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 72.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 72.8%
Neutral zone
Oshie 51.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Bonino
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Bonino
Oshie
Last 7: Bonino 4-3 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
2
Bonino
Oshie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
1
Bonino
Oshie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (691)
51.4% (35)
-1.2%
Power Play
61.5% (78)
53.5% (170)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (149)
50.9% (57)
-5.3%
On power play, Bonino has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Bonino is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Bonino shoots left. Oshie is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Bonino
Oshie
Home
52.7% (467)
59.4% (138)
Away
48.1% (451)
45.2% (124)
By Period
Bonino
Oshie
P1
48.9%
53.4%
P2
50.2%
48.9%
P3
51.7%
55.1%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.4%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | OT | 00:36 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |