Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bonino wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 52.3% vs Oshie 50.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 85.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 86.1%
Neutral zone
Oshie 52.7%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Bonino
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Bonino
Oshie
Last 9: Bonino 4-5 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
5
Bonino
Oshie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
0
Bonino
Oshie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (717)
51.7% (58)
+0.3%
Power Play
62.7% (67)
49.1% (169)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (144)
54.5% (11)
-3.8%
On power play, Bonino has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Bonino is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Bonino shoots left. Oshie is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Bonino
Oshie
Home
54.8% (429)
51.3% (113)
Away
50.7% (499)
48.8% (125)
By Period
Bonino
Oshie
P1
53.5%
53.8%
P2
49.5%
47.5%
P3
54.8%
51.2%
OT
45.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.9%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |