Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bonino wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 53.9% vs Plekanec 53.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Plekanec 52.0%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 53.4%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 51.1%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Bonino
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Bonino
Plekanec
Last 10: Bonino 7-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
1
Bonino
Plekanec
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
2
Bonino
Plekanec
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (771)
53.3% (1,007)
+3.1%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
71.4% (21)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (169)
51.4% (208)
-7.6%
On power play, Plekanec has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Bonino is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Bonino shoots left. Plekanec is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (773).
Home / Away
Bonino
Plekanec
Home
56.5% (531)
52.2% (628)
Away
51.7% (439)
54.4% (608)
By Period
Bonino
Plekanec
P1
56.7%
55.6%
P2
48.1%
54.4%
P3
58.0%
49.9%
OT
52.6%
63.6%
Final 5 min
59.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |