Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Smith 48.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 52.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 51.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.6%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Bonino
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Bonino
Smith
Last 7: Bonino 3-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Bonino
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Bonino
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
0
Bonino
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
49.0% (769)
+1.6%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
63.6% (22)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
42.4% (118)
+2.2%
On power play, Smith has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Bonino
Smith
Home
51.2% (5,507)
52.4% (490)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Bonino
Smith
P1
50.6%
46.9%
P2
48.5%
51.2%
P3
51.1%
47.7%
OT
45.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |