Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.9% vs Smith 46.1% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 60.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 52.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 63.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Bonino
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bonino
Smith
Last 5: Bonino 3-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Bonino
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
0
Bonino
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (837)
44.7% (244)
+4.9%
Power Play
50.7% (223)
33.3% (6)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (134)
50.0% (8)
-9.0%
On power play, Bonino has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Bonino shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Bonino
Smith
Home
50.7% (564)
51.3% (158)
Away
47.1% (630)
34.0% (100)
By Period
Bonino
Smith
P1
44.9%
37.2%
P2
50.1%
53.9%
P3
50.9%
40.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |