Scouting Report
Troy Brouwer holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.9% vs Brouwer 50.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 54.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 56.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 55.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Bonino
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Bonino
Brouwer
Last 7: Bonino 2-5 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Brouwer
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
4
Bonino
Brouwer
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (837)
50.8% (122)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.7% (223)
52.3% (193)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (134)
49.6% (121)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Brouwer has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Bonino shoots left. Brouwer is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
Bonino
Brouwer
Home
50.7% (564)
56.6% (221)
Away
47.1% (630)
45.6% (215)
By Period
Bonino
Brouwer
P1
44.9%
54.6%
P2
50.1%
48.0%
P3
50.9%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |