Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Leino on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Leino 46.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leino 79.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 68.5%
Neutral zone
Leino 51.0%
Result
Ville Leino favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Bonino
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Bonino
Leino
Last 5: Bonino 2-3 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Leino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Leino
0
1
Bonino
Leino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Leino
1
2
Bonino
Leino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
46.1% (596)
+4.5%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
42.1% (57)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
33.3% (6)
+11.3%
On power play, Bonino has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Leino is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Bonino
Leino
Home
51.2% (5,507)
46.1% (334)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
45.0% (329)
By Period
Bonino
Leino
P1
50.6%
45.9%
P2
48.5%
44.8%
P3
51.1%
45.6%
OT
45.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Ville Leino |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ville Leino |