Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Paquette wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 46.8% vs Cousins 43.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 61.0%
Defensive zone
Paquette 80.7%
Neutral zone
Paquette 68.0%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Paquette
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Paquette
Cousins
Last 5: Paquette 5-0 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
4
0
Paquette
Cousins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Cousins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (347)
39.6% (202)
+9.4%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
57.1% (14)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (80)
100.0% (1)
-65.0%
On penalty kill, Cousins has a +65.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Paquette is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Paquette shoots left. Cousins is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Paquette
Cousins
Home
42.3% (182)
35.9% (117)
Away
48.8% (252)
47.0% (100)
By Period
Paquette
Cousins
P1
51.3%
41.3%
P2
46.1%
47.3%
P3
40.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.1%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 12:13 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |