Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cousins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cousins 47.3% vs Kesler 55.2% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 52.8%
Defensive zone
Kesler 88.2%
Neutral zone
Kesler 66.2%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Cousins
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cousins
Kesler
Last 8: Cousins 5-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
3
0
Cousins
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Cousins
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cousins
2
1
Cousins
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cousins
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (477)
55.7% (741)
-8.7%
Power Play
45.2% (42)
67.0% (100)
-21.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (204)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Cousins is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Cousins shoots left. Kesler is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Home / Away
Cousins
Kesler
Home
48.3% (234)
52.5% (522)
Away
45.5% (286)
58.9% (523)
By Period
Cousins
Kesler
P1
53.2%
56.7%
P2
43.5%
56.8%
P3
44.8%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
49.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |