Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cousins wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cousins 45.2% vs Fiddler 52.1% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 90.6%
Defensive zone
Cousins 58.3%
Neutral zone
Cousins 76.1%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Cousins
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Cousins
Fiddler
Last 6: Cousins 1-5 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
2
Cousins
Fiddler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
Cousins
Fiddler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
2
Cousins
Fiddler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cousins
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (1,506)
53.7% (4,899)
-8.7%
Power Play
44.6% (101)
50.0% (154)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
46.9% (1,479)
-4.0%
On even strength, Fiddler has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Cousins is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Cousins shoots left. Fiddler is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,362).
Home / Away
Cousins
Fiddler
Home
46.8% (808)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
43.1% (806)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Cousins
Fiddler
P1
47.6%
52.1%
P2
43.6%
52.6%
P3
43.7%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cousins
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.9%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |