Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Strome wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Foligno 48.6% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 78.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 85.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 61.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Strome
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Strome
Foligno
Last 8: Strome 2-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
5
Strome
Foligno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
48.7% (495)
+3.9%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
56.9% (65)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
43.8% (144)
+18.7%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Strome shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Strome
Foligno
Home
53.4% (653)
49.6% (359)
Away
53.9% (634)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Strome
Foligno
P1
49.3%
46.7%
P2
54.6%
52.7%
P3
56.7%
46.7%
OT
62.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |