Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 47.2% vs Foligno 46.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 52.0%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 50.4%
Neutral zone
Foligno 52.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Dickinson
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dickinson
Foligno
Last 5: Dickinson 1-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Dickinson
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Dickinson
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (272)
44.0% (159)
+3.4%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
54.9% (51)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
37.3% (51)
-7.9%
On power play, Foligno has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Dickinson is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Dickinson shoots left. Foligno is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Foligno
Home
47.4% (175)
43.0% (142)
Away
44.6% (121)
47.1% (119)
By Period
Dickinson
Foligno
P1
38.8%
47.8%
P2
50.5%
42.6%
P3
48.5%
46.2%
OT
33.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
46.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:33 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |