Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hanzal wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 55.4% vs Foligno 48.2% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 69.4%
Defensive zone
Foligno 60.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 67.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Hanzal
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hanzal
Foligno
Last 6: Hanzal 2-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hanzal
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Hanzal
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Hanzal
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (754)
50.0% (152)
+4.9%
Power Play
61.4% (228)
41.2% (17)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (65)
0.0% (7)
+49.2%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +49.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Hanzal is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Hanzal shoots left. Foligno is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Foligno
Home
58.1% (539)
48.1% (77)
Away
53.7% (508)
46.5% (99)
By Period
Hanzal
Foligno
P1
56.5%
43.1%
P2
57.9%
50.8%
P3
53.6%
48.9%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 16:14 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |