Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Foligno wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 46.3% vs Suter 43.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 58.4%
Defensive zone
Suter 58.8%
Neutral zone
Suter 59.8%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Foligno
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Foligno
Suter
Last 8: Foligno 3-5 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
2
Foligno
Suter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
0
Foligno
Suter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
0
3
Foligno
Suter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (159)
41.4% (551)
+2.6%
Power Play
54.9% (51)
50.8% (59)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (51)
53.3% (15)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Suter has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Foligno is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Foligno shoots left. Suter is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Foligno
Suter
Home
43.0% (142)
43.8% (317)
Away
47.1% (119)
41.2% (308)
By Period
Foligno
Suter
P1
47.8%
46.2%
P2
42.6%
39.2%
P3
46.2%
41.9%
OT
20.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
44.8%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 3 | 03:37 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 29, 2021 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |