Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Foligno wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 46.4% vs Bozak 53.3% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 67.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 63.6%
Neutral zone
Foligno 66.7%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Foligno
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Foligno
Bozak
Last 9: Foligno 2-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
5
Foligno
Bozak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Foligno
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (566)
53.6% (977)
-7.3%
Power Play
43.4% (106)
52.2% (186)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (69)
100.0% (6)
-53.6%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +53.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Foligno is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Foligno shoots left. Bozak is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Foligno
Bozak
Home
48.9% (364)
55.4% (583)
Away
43.0% (377)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Foligno
Bozak
P1
48.7%
51.9%
P2
46.9%
51.1%
P3
44.0%
57.9%
OT
20.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
45.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2018 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2018 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2018 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |