Scouting Report
William Nylander holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Foligno wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 46.4% vs Nylander 51.2% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 53.5%
Defensive zone
Nylander 66.4%
Neutral zone
Nylander 62.1%
Result
William Nylander favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Foligno
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Foligno
Nylander
Last 5: Foligno 3-2 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
1
Foligno
Nylander
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Foligno
Nylander
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (566)
51.7% (574)
-5.4%
Power Play
43.4% (106)
47.9% (73)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (69)
66.7% (3)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, Nylander has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Foligno is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Foligno shoots left. Nylander is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Foligno
Nylander
Home
48.9% (364)
51.8% (336)
Away
43.0% (377)
51.0% (314)
By Period
Foligno
Nylander
P1
48.7%
53.6%
P2
46.9%
44.4%
P3
44.0%
55.4%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
45.9%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2018 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Jan 8, 2018 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |