Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Entwistle wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Entwistle 45.0% vs Paul 53.9% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 85.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 53.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 69.6%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Entwistle
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Entwistle
Paul
Last 5: Entwistle 3-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Entwistle
Paul
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Entwistle
1
0
Entwistle
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Entwistle
1
0
Entwistle
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Entwistle
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (370)
53.1% (710)
-9.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
57.3% (199)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
58.0% (69)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Entwistle is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (261).
Entwistle shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Entwistle
Paul
Home
49.2% (195)
56.0% (466)
Away
38.4% (198)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Entwistle
Paul
P1
48.4%
57.2%
P2
40.9%
54.9%
P3
40.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
41.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Entwistle
40.0%▼
46.0%
43.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | MacKenzie Entwistle |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 16:24 | Neutral | MacKenzie Entwistle |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | MacKenzie Entwistle |