Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Prokhorkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 51.0% vs Prokhorkin 48.4% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 57.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 81.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 72.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Paul
Prokhorkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Paul
Prokhorkin
Last 5: Paul 4-1 Prokhorkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Prokhorkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Prokhorkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Prokhorkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Prokhorkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (312)
47.8% (203)
+5.7%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
44.4% (9)
+9.4%
On power play, Paul has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Prokhorkin shoots left. Paul is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Paul shoots left. Prokhorkin is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Paul
Prokhorkin
Home
45.8% (153)
45.9% (122)
Away
55.0% (220)
50.0% (90)
By Period
Paul
Prokhorkin
P1
55.9%
45.9%
P2
48.9%
50.0%
P3
50.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.2%
Prokhorkin
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Nikolai Prokhorkin |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Nick Paul |