Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Schmaltz wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 44.1% vs Sheahan 49.1% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 82.1%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 91.8%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 69.9%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Schmaltz
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Schmaltz
Sheahan
Last 9: Schmaltz 5-4 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Sheahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
2
Schmaltz
Sheahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
4
2
Schmaltz
Sheahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (338)
50.9% (613)
-9.2%
Power Play
47.1% (34)
55.0% (20)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
42.8% (201)
+32.2%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Schmaltz is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Schmaltz shoots right. Sheahan is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Sheahan
Home
48.2% (166)
51.1% (409)
Away
38.1% (210)
47.1% (425)
By Period
Schmaltz
Sheahan
P1
42.1%
46.8%
P2
45.8%
54.6%
P3
41.4%
45.9%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
42.6%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 14:02 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 01:30 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 2 | 03:25 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |