Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schmaltz wins 39.2% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 44.1% vs Getzlaf 51.1% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 72.9%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 79.6%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 51.6%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Schmaltz
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Schmaltz
Getzlaf
Last 6: Schmaltz 3-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
2
Schmaltz
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
1
Schmaltz
Getzlaf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (338)
51.6% (812)
-9.9%
Power Play
47.1% (34)
55.3% (94)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
45.2% (126)
+29.8%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Schmaltz is 39.2% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Schmaltz shoots right. Getzlaf is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Getzlaf
Home
48.2% (166)
52.5% (531)
Away
38.1% (210)
49.9% (503)
By Period
Schmaltz
Getzlaf
P1
42.1%
47.8%
P2
45.8%
54.6%
P3
41.4%
52.6%
OT
22.2%
27.8%
Final 5 min
43.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.6%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |