Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (37.0% vs 37.8%). Look for Pyatt on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Schmaltz wins 37.3% vs left-shot opponents — Pyatt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 40.4% vs Pyatt 42.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 79.7%
Defensive zone
Pyatt 66.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 58.1%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Schmaltz
Pyatt
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Schmaltz
Pyatt
Last 8: Schmaltz 2-6 Pyatt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pyatt
0
1
Schmaltz
Pyatt
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pyatt
0
1
Schmaltz
Pyatt
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pyatt
2
4
Schmaltz
Pyatt
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Pyatt
Edge
Even Strength
37.6% (237)
40.5% (111)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
29.7% (37)
+20.3%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pyatt shoots left. Schmaltz is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Schmaltz shoots right. Pyatt is 32.8% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Pyatt
Home
42.6% (129)
39.3% (56)
Away
32.2% (152)
37.0% (92)
By Period
Schmaltz
Pyatt
P1
38.8%
35.3%
P2
29.4%
46.7%
P3
42.2%
32.7%
Final 5 min
36.4%
27.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
37.0%
Pyatt
34.0%▼
36.5%
37.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 14:31 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 10:30 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 05:02 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |