Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Schmaltz wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 44.0% vs Rask 46.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 68.4%
Defensive zone
Rask 75.4%
Neutral zone
Rask 72.2%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Schmaltz
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Schmaltz
Rask
Last 10: Schmaltz 6-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
5
1
Schmaltz
Rask
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Schmaltz
Rask
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
2
Schmaltz
Rask
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (485)
45.5% (442)
-3.0%
Power Play
45.1% (51)
44.7% (38)
+0.4%
On even strength, Rask has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Schmaltz is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Schmaltz shoots right. Rask is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Rask
Home
45.0% (258)
45.6% (228)
Away
40.9% (279)
45.2% (252)
By Period
Schmaltz
Rask
P1
47.0%
45.1%
P2
42.7%
45.5%
P3
38.4%
45.8%
Final 5 min
47.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 01:42 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:46 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |