Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Galchenyuk on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 48.2% vs Spaling 51.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 56.4%
Defensive zone
Spaling 90.4%
Neutral zone
Spaling 83.6%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 78.1%
21.9%
78.1%
Galchenyuk
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Galchenyuk
Spaling
Last 6: Galchenyuk 5-1 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
1
0
Galchenyuk
Spaling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
1
0
Galchenyuk
Spaling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
3
1
Galchenyuk
Spaling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (654)
52.5% (461)
-4.5%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
66.7% (9)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
46.6% (131)
-9.1%
On power play, Spaling has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Galchenyuk is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (510).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Spaling is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Spaling
Home
50.2% (442)
57.2% (297)
Away
44.6% (307)
45.7% (304)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Spaling
P1
45.2%
54.2%
P2
53.5%
46.6%
P3
46.3%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 1 | 10:09 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |