Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 50.1%). Look for Morrison on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Morrison wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Morrison 49.6% vs Spaling 50.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 61.1%
Defensive zone
Spaling 75.5%
Neutral zone
Spaling 59.2%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Morrison
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Morrison
Spaling
Last 9: Morrison 8-1 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Morrison
3
0
Morrison
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Morrison
5
1
Morrison
Spaling
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Morrison
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (336)
49.7% (756)
-1.8%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
35.3% (17)
+34.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
55.0% (120)
-12.1%
On power play, Morrison has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Morrison is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Morrison shoots left. Spaling is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Morrison
Spaling
Home
55.1% (176)
52.1% (476)
Away
45.0% (218)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Morrison
Spaling
P1
47.1%
50.4%
P2
56.0%
51.3%
P3
46.7%
48.5%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Morrison
50.0%▲
44.5%
49.5%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Brendan Morrison |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Brendan Morrison |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 12:54 | Defensive | Brendan Morrison |