Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 48.7% vs Spaling 50.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 56.5%
Defensive zone
Spaling 85.0%
Neutral zone
Spaling 61.5%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Emmerton
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Emmerton
Spaling
Last 9: Emmerton 7-2 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
1
Emmerton
Spaling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
1
0
Emmerton
Spaling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
1
Emmerton
Spaling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (299)
49.7% (756)
-1.5%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
35.3% (17)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
55.0% (120)
+2.1%
On power play, Emmerton has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Emmerton is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Emmerton shoots left. Spaling is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Spaling
Home
49.7% (183)
52.1% (476)
Away
46.2% (130)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Emmerton
Spaling
P1
45.5%
50.4%
P2
50.0%
51.3%
P3
49.4%
48.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 09:59 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |