Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brassard wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 45.7% vs Spaling 50.1% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 78.4%
Defensive zone
Brassard 78.5%
Neutral zone
Brassard 78.8%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Brassard
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Brassard
Spaling
Last 7: Brassard 1-6 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
2
Brassard
Spaling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Spaling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
3
Brassard
Spaling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (530)
49.7% (756)
-4.6%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
35.3% (17)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
55.0% (120)
-5.0%
On power play, Brassard has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Brassard is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Brassard shoots left. Spaling is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Brassard
Spaling
Home
45.4% (284)
52.1% (476)
Away
44.7% (333)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Brassard
Spaling
P1
51.2%
50.4%
P2
40.3%
51.3%
P3
43.2%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
45.1%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2012 | 3 | 16:51 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |