Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.1% vs 46.3%). Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 46.6% vs Spaling 46.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 72.7%
Defensive zone
Spaling 53.7%
Neutral zone
Benn 60.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Benn
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Benn
Spaling
Last 8: Benn 2-6 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Spaling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
3
Benn
Spaling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
2
Benn
Spaling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
48.4% (419)
-0.6%
Power Play
39.8% (133)
30.0% (10)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
32.1% (53)
+7.9%
On power play, Benn has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Benn is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Benn shoots left. Spaling is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Benn
Spaling
Home
51.4% (317)
52.2% (251)
Away
41.8% (392)
39.8% (231)
By Period
Benn
Spaling
P1
42.7%
40.6%
P2
45.4%
43.9%
P3
50.4%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.1%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 2 | 15:06 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |