Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jooris on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jooris wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 45.9% vs Spaling 51.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 58.5%
Defensive zone
Spaling 63.0%
Neutral zone
Spaling 71.2%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Jooris
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jooris
Spaling
Last 5: Jooris 3-2 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jooris
Spaling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
2
1
Jooris
Spaling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (194)
52.5% (461)
-4.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
66.7% (9)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
30.5% (59)
46.6% (131)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Jooris is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Jooris shoots right. Spaling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Jooris
Spaling
Home
43.4% (152)
57.2% (297)
Away
45.7% (105)
45.7% (304)
By Period
Jooris
Spaling
P1
42.4%
54.2%
P2
42.2%
46.6%
P3
49.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |