Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Komarov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Spaling 49.9% (-2.6%)
Offensive zone
Spaling 53.9%
Defensive zone
Spaling 50.2%
Neutral zone
Komarov 51.0%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Komarov
Spaling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
50.5% (2,263)
-1.9%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
43.4% (53)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
48.0% (498)
-2.4%
On power play, Spaling has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Komarov shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Komarov
Spaling
Home
49.2% (537)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
45.7% (591)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Komarov
Spaling
P1
47.6%
49.8%
P2
47.3%
48.3%
P3
47.5%
52.0%
OT
41.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%