Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 46.5% vs Spaling 50.1% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kruger 71.7%
Defensive zone
Kruger 71.9%
Neutral zone
Kruger 71.3%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Kruger
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kruger
Spaling
Last 5: Kruger 1-4 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
2
Kruger
Spaling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
2
Kruger
Spaling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (502)
49.7% (756)
-4.3%
Power Play
46.7% (60)
35.3% (17)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
55.0% (120)
-6.9%
On power play, Kruger has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Kruger is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Kruger shoots left. Spaling is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Kruger
Spaling
Home
46.1% (267)
52.1% (476)
Away
45.7% (352)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Kruger
Spaling
P1
42.5%
50.4%
P2
44.7%
51.3%
P3
50.0%
48.5%
OT
57.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 08:35 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |