Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Ribeiro wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.1% vs Spaling 50.1% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 67.7%
Defensive zone
Spaling 91.0%
Neutral zone
Spaling 79.9%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 84.6%
15.4%
84.6%
Ribeiro
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Ribeiro
Spaling
Last 9: Ribeiro 6-3 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
0
Ribeiro
Spaling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Ribeiro
Spaling
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
0
Ribeiro
Spaling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (624)
49.7% (756)
-7.2%
Power Play
42.2% (128)
35.3% (17)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (49)
55.0% (120)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (560).
Ribeiro shoots left. Spaling is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Spaling
Home
44.3% (395)
52.1% (476)
Away
40.2% (413)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Ribeiro
Spaling
P1
36.5%
50.4%
P2
43.8%
51.3%
P3
45.6%
48.5%
OT
57.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
42.2%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |