Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Ribeiro wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Spaling 49.9% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Ribeiro leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 75.7%
Defensive zone
Spaling 95.9%
Neutral zone
Spaling 90.3%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 88.5%
11.5%
88.5%
Ribeiro
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
8
(23 meetings)
15
8
Ribeiro
Spaling
Last 10: Ribeiro 6-4 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
6
0
Ribeiro
Spaling
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
3
5
Ribeiro
Spaling
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
6
3
Ribeiro
Spaling
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
50.5% (2,263)
-7.6%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
43.4% (53)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
48.0% (498)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Ribeiro shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Spaling
Home
44.1% (3,144)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Ribeiro
Spaling
P1
42.6%
49.8%
P2
44.3%
48.3%
P3
41.8%
52.0%
OT
49.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2016 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 12, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 18:10 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |